No need to read the tea leaves or look into the crystal ball. The future is surprisingly well forecastable. When we identify signals and trends, and can see building blocks, and combine them with drivers, assumptions and motivations, they can … Continue reading Discovering Drivers And Assumptions With The STEEP Methodology
Asking questions is what distinguishes humans from primates. Even before children can speak, they start asking questions. The nature of the questions changes with age. Initially, the questions are in the form of “What is that?” then change to “Why … Continue reading Asking A Beautiful Question
A technique that helps to show the intended and unintended impact of new products and services is the future wheel. In the center is the circle with the product under consideration. The immediately adjacent circles represent the desired direct impacts … Continue reading Futures Wheel And 1st, 2nd and 3rd Order Changes [VIDEO].
What is Future Benchmarking and why is it important for organizations when developing products and services? Imagine a competitor is launching a new product or service and you want to launch the same. To do this, you analyze the competitor’s … Continue reading Future Benchmarking [VIDEO]
In 1969, could anyone predict how long the Berlin Wall would stand? We know it fell in 1989, and it has now fallen longer than it ever stood. But that was the question American physicist John Richard Gott asked himself … Continue reading Copernican Method Or How Long Will Google Still Exist?
The future does not come out of nowhere, it builds on existing building blocks that already exist. Mankind has created a vast number of such building blocks in its history. With each additional building block, the combination possibilities increase and … Continue reading Combining Signals
A psychologically surprisingly powerful Foresight Mindset tool is messages from the future. For example, participants are given the task of writing a newspaper article from the future ten years from today’s date, with the headline describing the bankruptcy of their … Continue reading Messages from the Future